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- China Hints at Hardball in U.S. Talks
China Hints at Hardball in U.S. Talks
Set to Discuss Tariffs, But Issuing Warning
Morning! If you want to hear what it’s like as I’m writing this, today, get a jackhammer and start drilling into the street outside your house. Apparently ConEd couldn’t fix the electrical system last time they dug up the street two weeks ago so they’re having a really good go at it this time. My mood is slightly affected by the racket. I should warn you.
There are two lead stories in today’s paper. The first is about a Tennessee jury finding three murderous police officers not-guilty in the beating death of Tyre Nichols. Remember the Black Lives Matter movement and how everyone said it would suffer when white people stopped shouting about it? I do. I’m afraid that I read the story and can't bring myself to write it up this morning because it’s not only sad but also, deeply depressing in a way that stories about Black men at the hands of U.S. police officers tend to be.
[Jackhammering continues as I write].
I’ve only had one proper humdinger of a nervous breakdown in my life and it happened after five years of reporting on deaths in police custody. What I learned from the experience, apart from the importance of “boundaries” and something called “self care,” was: We get the leaders we deserve in this country. We should talk about that a lot more often but it’s hard, so we don’t. We offer thoughts and prayers. Police officers get caught between those and our resolve to change things. So, unfortunately, do their victims. May Mr. Nichols rest in peace. May the officers suffer with their consciences. Please do consider reading the story but I’m afraid I can’t bring myself to read it on your behalf so that you don't have to. It’s too sad.
[Jackhammering still going.]

The other lead story, which I can, I think, just about bring myself to read on your behalf today is about how China is likely to “play hardball” in the upcoming trade talks with America. I play softball, personally, because America ditched hardball squash in the 1970s, adopting the softer English ball. But it turns out the phrase originates from baseball and is about using tough and dangerous methods to achieve a goal. Squash, in a rare case, today, has got nothing to do with anything. WTF.
Reporter Alexandra Stevenson joins us from Hong Kong where she notes that China has softened its initial stance to engage in the talks. Despite initially refusing to negotiate under duress, Beijing agreed to trade talks with the U.S. and stated it made this decision “based on a full consideration of global expectations, China’s interests and the calls of American industry and consumers,” according to a statement issued by the Chinese government.
Mutual economic strain has brought both sides to the table, Stevenson reports, as both nations experienced major economic repercussions due to tariff hikes, including slowed factory activity in China and a shrinking U.S. economy:
Chinese factories were hit with the steepest slowdown in activity in more than a year, and shipments of Chinese goods to the United States have plunged, triggering a wave of warnings from retailers about shortages. The American economy shrank in the first three months of the year, and companies slashed growth forecasts.
The focus of the talks will be deescalation of tensions. “We’ve got to de-escalate before we can move forward,” said U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in a Fox News interview.
The story, oddly, doesn’t mention the source of those tensions. But it’s President Donald Trump, who is a maniac.
Experts note that China wants to appear responsible yet strong during the talks, warning the U.S. against using the talks “as a smoke screen to continue coercion and extortion.” Yun Sun, a China analyst at the Stimson Center, said: “China is trying to frame itself as the responsible party, but it’s still a pretty hard-line tone: You better behave yourself in these talks.”

Source: Bloomberg
While both sides aim to lower tariffs, neither is willing to make the first concession, leaving the outcome unclear.
The Chinese “still have the upper hand, but their economy is slowing,” said Scott Kennedy, a senior adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington research group. “If they totally stonewall the Trump administration, they could end up looking complicit in bringing the global economy to a halt.”
Again, this entire story could have been avoided along with the damage to both countries’ economies if only Mr. Trump had heeded the advice of economists to avoid implementing a damaging policy without any evidence it would be successful.
This is from Bloomberg 👇🏻, which tends to better at business analysis than the Times.
“You don’t put Secretary Bessent and Jamieson Greer on a plane to fly all the way to Europe to have these kind of discussions, only to have the outcome be essentially nothing,” Sean Stein, president of US-China Business Council, told Bloomberg Television on Wednesday. “Both sides have made a really courageous political decision to meet, but now expectations are high.”
“If they aren’t able to deliver, I think we’ll see a strong negative reaction in the markets,” he added.
There’s also the issue that Trump is behind the negotiators, waving a gun around. From Bloomberg again:
The difficulty for Chinese negotiators is Trump will remain the key “decider” in any deal, according to Deborah Elms, head of trade policy at the Hinrich Foundation. “I would keep expectations modest,” she said. “It could be the case that you spend days, weeks, or months negotiating like crazy with folks like Greer or Bessent — and then, ultimately, Trump changes the parameters.”
[The jackhammer appears to have stopped.]
If I had to lay money on the outcome of the talks it’ll be positive over the longer term but the volatility will continue as long as whatshisname is our commander in chief.
The Times also ran a very gossipy story yesterday essentially saying that Melania Trump has gone AWOL. I call her a pragmatist. But still.
One person who has known Mrs. Trump for a long time is Paolo Zampolli, a former modeling agent from Italy who first spotted her in Milan in the 1990s. The Trumps say it was Mr. Zampolli who introduced them for the first time, in 1998, at the Kit Kat Club in Manhattan. He refers to Mrs. Trump reverently as “the lady.” Any persnickety questions about the lady’s absence in Washington, he said, were unfounded. “She loves the White House,” he insisted, “and she loves the role of serving as our first lady.”
Remember. She is not, and has never been, anything other than a model, professionally. Although…
The Daily Mail settled with the Trump family in 2017 over a story about Melania Trump. In its apology, the paper acknowledged it had published "allegations that she provided services beyond simply modeling". A New York Times reporter later apologized for a private conversation, reported by someone overhearing it, in which he described Mrs. Trump as “a hooker.”
I say best of luck to her. And I resent the Times’s disapproving tone. Can you imagine being married to that monster, whatever the terms?

Thanks for letting me read the newspaper so that you don’t have to.
Say, is there a story that might cheer me up a bit?
Oh, sure. 👇🏻The Knicks beat the Celtics to go 2-0 in the playoffs!
Twitter is a delight this morning:
HANG IT IN THE LOUVRE
— Complex Sports (@ComplexSports)
1:41 AM • May 8, 2025
Matt Davis lives in Manhattan with his wife and kid.
Standard disclaimer: I read the top story in the New York Times every morning so that you don’t have to. If you were forwarded this, you can subscribe here. I’m also doing a five-minute video version of this, each weekday morning at around 9 a.m. (depending on how long it takes me to read the newspaper). If you’d like to follow me on LinkedIn (you can always watch the recording later). If you subscribe to my Youtube channel it’ll also send you a notification when I’m “going live.”